Ger30, UK100 and SP500 are CFD’s, written over the Dax30, Footsie100 and S&P500 Index futures:
In pre-market, European shares showed some gains, following the result of Wall Street recovery after yesterday’s European closing. Initially, investors will react to the results presented before the opening. The publication of inflation as measured by consumer prices, shall provisionally divert the attention of European investors from themes such as oil and the Fed. Economists anticipate that inflation has grown 0.40% in January compared to the same period of 2015. Face to December 2015, inflation will have recorded a negative change (-1.40%), but this is due to seasonal factors and should not provide a clear overview of this issue. Leaving aside the most volatile goods, inflation in the eurozone have risen 1% in annual terms. The publication of inflation will be one of the factors that should influence the ECB’s next meeting in March.
US markets ended with contained variations, managing to recover from early losses justified by the sharp fall in oil and the weakness of the US markets. The Dow Jones was losing 266 points and closed with a rise of 53 points. Oil price suffered a selling pressure, with investors showing their disappointment at the fact that Saudi Arabia eliminate the possibility of a cut in production and some skepticism regarding the freeze on production capacity to balance the relationship demand / supply . The session key moment occurred when the Department of Energy revealed that the oil reserves in the US rose by 3.5 million barrels last week compared to the envisaged increase of 2.42 million. However, the sharp drop in petrol stocks (-1.6 million barrels vs 0.73 M million) contributed to compensate the early fall. Additionally, the Association of American Railroads reported that crude oil transported through this route declined for the third consecutive week, confirming recent evidence that US oil production continues to decline, albeit slowly. Last year, in face of oil price fall, shale oil extraction companies adopted a series of measures in order to protect their business. These measures include the closure of oil wells with lower productivity, reduction in non-operating costs, renegotiation with banks of borrowing and the implementation of financial hedging strategies, which protect the oil price fall. However, at this stage, the potential of reducing costs both financial and non-operating is limited and the use of financial instruments for protection against a further drop of crude oil is very expensive. Thus, in recent months there has a closure of many oil fields, especially smaller ones.
The Asian session was marked by two opposing behaviors. While Shanghai and Hong Kong exchanges suffered sharp losses (especially the first), the remaining markets closed higher, reacting positively to the reversal of the trend observed in New-York.